41718449075776_page_1
aera REF ID:A59018 —Securitytaformation— flir Intelligence Estimate Alt- | DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE HEADQUARTERS UNITED STATES AIR FORCE
41718449075776_page_10
REF gID: 59018" —Security_tlniormation One-way missions (3,960 nautical miles), these aircraft can reach all targets of major value for…
41718449075776_page_11
REF gD: A59018 —Security-information— 17. The Soviets probably have concluded that the continental strengths discussed in this study are…
41718449075776_page_12
REF ID:A59018 —TOP-SEERET— seer 22, When the trend in allegiances and acvretions of world power begin flowing in favor of the West, the…
41718449075776_page_13
nen eeneeenaenaeereennee REF ID:A59018 Sah babeeetaahiahanedl aneheieiniedl 4 - Appendix A a + CONTENTS a A, SOVIET ATOMIC WEAPONS 1. Bomb…
41718449075776_page_14
_y@FFehhe 859018 APPENDIX *A" A. Soviet Atomic Weapons 1. BOMB STOCKPILE a. Present Estimate! fhe Intelligence Advisory Committee has…
41718449075776_page_15
REF ID:A59018 —TOP-SECRET- —Seoority-itormeation— 1 APPENDIX "A" In view of the uncertainties in the production of fissionable materials,…
41718449075776_page_16
REF ID:A59018 -FOP-SEERETF Security Information- APPENDIX "A* probable that by mid-1954 the Soviet Union will have available a con~…
41718449075776_page_17
APPENDIX "A* (6) The Soviet Union also could undertake clandestine attack with transport aircraft of a type used by U. S. or foreign…
41718449075776_page_18
-soPSFenep: A59018 Security Infoxmation. APPENDIX *"A* B. Thermonuclear Weapons? Though the present Soviet program provides certain raw…
41718449075776_page_19
FAR; A59018 Secority“intotiiahion APPENDIX "A" C. Radiological Weapons Although the Soviets have facilities for the production of small…
41718449075776_page_2
REF ID:A59018 FOREWORD Air Intelligence Estumates (AIE) are designed to meet parucular needs of the Department of the Air Force in the…
41718449075776_page_20
REF ID:A59018 Sasurity Information— APPENDIX "A" D. Biological Warfare Agents 1. KNOWN DEVELOPMENTS The Soviets have been active in the BW…
41718449075776_page_21
REF ID:A59018 APPENDIX "as before the outbreak of hostilities. The main advantages of this method are that it is relatively easy to employ…
41718449075776_page_22
REF ID:A59018 OP SECK E. Chemical Warfare Agents 1. KNOWN DEVELOPMENTS The Soviet Union is estimated to have the capability to engage in…
41718449075776_page_23
BEE, ID:A59018 wh 5 APPENDIX "a" compounds research at Kazan. A close analysis of the numerous publications of this group in Kazan strongly…
41718449075776_page_24
} 5 * aw «t assy 4 roe a + . 5 a . Gen REF ID:A59018 —FOP-S EGRET Appendix B Soviet Capabilities for intercontinental ~ Delivery of Mass…
41718449075776_page_25
_. BEF ID:A59018 TF QVEURCI Appendix B CONTENTS (Continued) eo 6, Availability of Target Data E, EXPECTED FUTURE CAPABILITY FOR LONG RANGE…
41718449075776_page_26
REF ID:A59018 FOP-SECRET —Seevrity-Information— APPENDIX "BY A. The Long Range Air Force 1. MISSION+ Long Range Aviation is the strategic…
41718449075776_page_27
REF ID:A59018 apie —Seauity_Information APPENDIX "3B* Estinated deployment of Long Range Aviation Tumd'te (based on 1/0 & B strength) is as…
41718449075776_page_28
REF ID:A59018 “TOP-SECRET Security information. APPENDIX "BH Estixated future Soviet long range bomber strength is pre~ sented in the…
41718449075776_page_29
REF ID:A59018 —¥OP-SECRET- —Securityinformation. APPENDIX "3! B. Long Range Aircraft 1, PRESENT CHARACTERISTICS? Except for small numbers…
41718449075776_page_3
“TOP-SEGREE « Security Informatics E ¢ ED i Ap. FOF Fitted) CLASSIFIED/NON-CLASSIFIED TRANSMITTAL and RECEIPT NATIONAL SECURITY AGENCY…
41718449075776_page_30
Type Mediun Mediun Heavy Mediun Medium Heavy Mediun Mediun Heavy Mediun Mediun Heavy Mediun Mediun Heavy Heavy Power Plant Jet Conv Conv®…
41718449075776_page_31
REF ID:A59018 “TOP SECRET —Secority-information— APPENDIX "3B" C. Air Base Structure for MB/HB Operations 1. CURRENT BASE REQUIREMENTS At…
41718449075776_page_32
ee REF ID:A59018 TOP-SECRET Security Infor nat APPENDIX "B" special operations, and other features the Soviets might desire. Since aircraft…
41718449075776_page_33
—Fop-seGigiy. ID:A59018 —Security_iniormation— APPENDIX "Bt European USSR, is roughly 3,500 nautical miles from the continental United…
41718449075776_page_34
“TOP SEGREF Tp -a59018 APPENDIX "BH flooded ground that would impede dispersal, servicing, mainten- ance, and logistic support. Both…
41718449075776_page_35
-oREReaEP# 459018 APPENDIX "BH nearest most industrial areas of the United States, and has the additional advantage of winds favorable to…
41718449075776_page_36
u REF ID:A59018 -FOP-SECRET —Seevrityinfermation— APPENDIX "BY Logistic support for operations from the Chukotski Peninsula area, in which…
41718449075776_page_37
REF ID:A59018 Secority-informenan— APPENDIX "34 will be developed. Other than for these forward staging bases, which may already have been…
41718449075776_page_38
REF ID:A59018 —TOP-SECRET— —Seeusihy-Intormation, 4PPENDIX "B! D. Current Capability for Long Range Operations 1, OPERATIONAL READINESS The…
41718449075776_page_39
REF ID:A59018 “TOP SECRET —Secusitytlnformation. APPENDIX "3B" operations in which the Soviets are weak apparently have been identified and…
41718449075776_page_4
REF ID:A59018 —TOP SECRET —Sezuriy-information— TOP SECRET Auth CS, USAF 31 Oce 52 AIR INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATE 2-35699 TS CONT. NO. DI, HQ…
41718449075776_page_40
‘zop-secrEEr 1D:459018 Security_niermation APPENDIX "B" of an electronic pulse nevigetional systen. If necessary, additional navigational…
41718449075776_page_41
REF ID:A59018 —FOP-SECRET “Security-infermation- APPENDIX "3B" and AN/APQ-13 type radar, or possibly with a more efficient type. Although…
41718449075776_page_42
REF ID:A59018 Security Intormation- APPENDIX "B* official order, apparently still in effect, stating that reprisals would be taken against…
41718449075776_page_43
REF ID:A59018 —FOP-SECRET- APPENDIX "B" concerning the actual serviceability rate or the mechanical condition of the Tu-4 aircraft in…
41718449075776_page_44
REF ID:A59018 -FOP-SECRET “Secority-informetion— b. Range Extension Techniques Little information is available regarding Soviet development…
41718449075776_page_45
REF ID:A59018 FOP-SECRET Security_tInformationesss: APPENDIX “BH While operations based on inflight refueling, particu- larly inbound,…
41718449075776_page_46
REF ID:A59018 —FOP-SECRET Security Informa APPENDIX "BY countermeasures. Soviet technical publications Imve discussed jamming and ferret…
41718449075776_page_47
REF ID:A59018 “TOP-SECRET Security-information— APPENDIX "B" A number of devices of value to a noise intercept program are known to be…
41718449075776_page_48
REF ID:A59018 eo APPENDIX "Bit 4, TACTICS AND TECHNIQUES! No Soviet aircraft are Imown to be presently operating over or near the…
41718449075776_page_49
REF ID:A59018 —Security_information. APPENDIX "3" these difficulties, at the possible cost of some degree of oper- ational efficiency.…
41718449075776_page_5
REF ID:A59018 TOP-SECRET Record of Revisions AIE #1 1 October 1952
41718449075776_page_50
REF ID:A59018 —Secority-intormation APPENDIX "5B! flight during both winter and summa, ranging from a net wind component value at 10,000…
41718449075776_page_51
REF ID:A59018 ~ Security Informahon — APPENDIX "Ba and target systems in this country and development of the necessary maps and folders is…
41718449075776_page_52
REF ID:A59018 -FOP-SECRET —Seeurity-intormation— APPENDIX "B" and target systems in this country and development of the necessary maps and…
41718449075776_page_53
REF ID:A59018 TOP SECRET Security Information _ APPENDIX "B" E. Expected Future Capability for Long Range Operations 1. 1953-1955 Through…
41718449075776_page_54
REF ID:A59018 “TOP-SECRET. —Secunfy Information APPENDIX "BR Efforts will be made to improve the accuracy of navigation and bombing by…
41718449075776_page_55
REF ID:A59018 ‘OP SEER APPENDIX "5B! By 1 July 1957 it is anticipated that Long Range Aviation strength will comprise 300 to 600 medium jet…
41718449075776_page_56
REF ID:A59018 Appendix C e@ Soviet Capabilities for Delivery ‘of Mass Destruction Weapons by Guided Missiles ° CONTENTS A. ORGANIZATION FOR…
41718449075776_page_57
REF_ID:A59018 Seausity_Informati APPENDIX "C1 A. Organization for Delivery by Guided Missiles Nothing is known of special organizations…
41718449075776_page_58
REF _ID:A59018 —Secority-intormanon — APPENDIX "Cc" B. Current Status of Soviet Guided Missiles Program 1. KNOWN ACQUISITIONS At the end of…
41718449075776_page_59
-FOPRRERMD-A59018 Pete tohernet APPENDIX "cr The Soviets obtained all information and a large number of these missiles at the end of World…
41718449075776_page_6
The Threat of Action from Communist Air Forces to the Continental Strengths of North America INDEX SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS…
41718449075776_page_60
REF ID:A59018 “TOP SECRET —Secority-informetion— APPENDIX "cr C. Soviet Guided Missiles @ 1, CHARACTERISTICS OF PRESENTLY AVAILABLE WEAPONS…
41718449075776_page_61
REF ID:A59018 “FOP SECRET —Secority-intormatton— and on the radio command systems, possibly using decimeter wave lengths. There is no…
41718449075776_page_62
:A59018 1 SLUVNED APPENDIX "cr @ Soviet, U.S. 1954 Type=31 with bombs or RASCAL system pulse jets or rockets . Submarine systems Submarine…
41718449075776_page_63
REF ID:A59018 “TOP SECRET— Security inforinat APPENDIX to" D. Present Soviet Capabilities for Utilization of Guided Missiles Against the…
41718449075776_page_64
REF ID:A59018 guided missiles from submarines. Most of these reports point to the V-1 type missile as being used. To date, no launching…
41718449075776_page_65
REF ID:A59018 -FOP-SEEREF “Seurrity-infermation__ APPENDIX "Cr 100 miles even with the launching submarine submerged to periscope depth and…
41718449075776_page_66
REF ID:A59018 ! APPENDIX "CH of 30 June 1951, the number of bases and the per cent of the respective personnel and aircraft of each major…
41718449075776_page_67
REF ID:A59018 ‘ TOP-SECRET oe Appendix D . Soviet Capabilities for Clandestine Delivery of Mass Destruction Weapons Against Targets in…
41718449075776_page_68
REF ID:A59018 “TOP-SECRET seccrity informer APPENDIX "D" A. Soviet Delivery Capabilities 1. This phase of the Soviet threat was considered…
41718449075776_page_69
REF ID:A59018 —TOP-SECRET— —Sacurity_Information _ APPENDIX "D# "ad, The launching of guided missiles with atomic warheads from merchant…
41718449075776_page_7
REF ID:A59018 —FOP-SECRET Security Information AlE-1 e@ The Threat of Action from Communist Air Forces to the Continental Strengths of…
41718449075776_page_70
REF ID:A59018 —TOP-SECRET— —Sacutity Information APPENDIX "D" B. Clandestine Use of Weapons 1. EXCERPT FROM NIE-31 “Phe Soviet Union will…
41718449075776_page_71
-FoP-sBaifer iD : A59018 -SBETET APPENDIX "D" or submarines. Such missiles could operate at low altitudes and could have considerably…
41718449075776_page_72
| REF ID:A59018 —FOF-SEC RET _ Appendix E t [ ' t \4 | - The Role of Air Campaigns in Soviet Planning and Strategy t . CONTENTS ; A.…
41718449075776_page_73
REF ID:A59018 —TOP-SECRET “Seeoriryintormanrton APPENDIX "E" A. General No single development in the post-war period has been more charged…
41718449075776_page_74
REF ID:A59018 —Securiry-intormeron APPENDIX "gt That Soviet air doctrine proved successful in the kind of war the Soviet Union fought in…
41718449075776_page_75
REF ID:A59018 —TFOP SECRET Sous bebermeenh APPENDIX "at Available evidence indicates, however, that the Germans took a very heavy toll of…
41718449075776_page_76
REF ID:A59018 TOP-SECRET secority before APPENDIX "3" without any observable connection with one another. They were, moreover, without any…
41718449075776_page_77
REF ID:A59018 —FOP-SEEREF- Securty-intermation APPENDIX "EH It is difficult to assess the value which the Soviet high command itself put on…
41718449075776_page_78
REF ID:A59018 SECRET APPENDIX "EN task was performed thoroughly, and the aggregate effort was of little account. All through the war,…
41718449075776_page_79
REF ID:A59018 —FOP-SECRET— Secu Iebenneai APPENDIX "EN the strategic situation in which the USSR found itself, and the other was…
41718449075776_page_8
REF ID:A59018 —FOP_SECRET —Secority-infornrenar 4, “Weapens of mass destruction" are considered to include both atomic and thermonuclear…
41718449075776_page_80
REF ID:A59018 APPENDIX "Et Third, the only immediate military threat to the USSR would come from Western air power, at least in the early…
41718449075776_page_81
REF ID:A59018 —TFOP-SEERET— “SeeTTy Titarmation APPENDIX tan Further, with the initiative for the next phase of armed struggle largely in…
41718449075776_page_82
_REF ID:A59018 TOP SECRET ~Secutity—informetion— crew -- commenting that the position of certain gages had been moved, and making mention…
41718449075776_page_83
REF ID:A59018 -FOP-SECRET— “Securry-informenton— The copying and output of a production model of an airplane as complex as the B-29 within…
41718449075776_page_84
REF ID:A59018 “TOP SECRET— Security Information . APPENDIX "Er What little concrete information is available concerning Soviet air power…
41718449075776_page_85
REF ID:A59018 -FOP-SECRET- “Seeurity-informetion APPENDIX "gt of high caliber personnel and other advantages to the wartime Long Range…
41718449075776_page_86
REF ID:A59018 -TOP SECRET —BSeeveity_taformation APPENDIX "x! The pattern of air participation in a future war may well include: first, a…
41718449075776_page_87
REF ID:A59018 —TOP-SECRET— “Seetrny-intormation— APPENDIX "Er ae Attack the US capability to deliver atomic weapons. The principal means…
41718449075776_page_88
REF ID:A59018 -FOP-SECRET— Secunity been APPENDIX "EN On the other hand, if the Soviets concluded they could not significantly retard the…
41718449075776_page_89
REF ID:A59018 —TOP-SEEGRET —Sesurity_Information : APPENDIX tt" major legistics installations on both sides of the oceans in an effort to…
41718449075776_page_9
REF ID:A59018 -FOP-SEGRET Serenat Conclusions 6. The Soviet Union is estimated to have presently available somewhat more than 50 (composite…
41718449075776_page_90
REF ID:A59018 TOP-SECRET Sonaity heey APPENDIX "En concept of liquidation of class enemies can be extended to liquidation @ of a nation,…
41718449075776_page_91
REF ID:A59018 ee elie TOF 5 E CRET APPENDIX "Et would be determined in part by Soviet assessment of the ability of Communist defenses to…
41718449075776_page_92
REF ID:A59018 TOP-SECRET —Seeurityinformatian_ APPENDIX "in 6) Ie weapons remain, a general reserve might be held. It is probable that the…
41718449075776_page_93
REF ID:A59018 —TOP SECRET __Security Information ——— by default. The selection of such an hour in world history will depend largely on the…